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COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SIMULATION

BCS Era (1998 - 2013)

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BRETT CIANCIA and MIKE NOWOSWIAT
February 2015
After decades of dreaming about it, years demanding it, and months arguing about it, the Playoff Era is finally here.  The old BCS system would have produced a 2014 National Championship Game of #1 Florida State (only undefeated) and #2 Alabama (SEC Champion), but with both of those squads losing in the National Semifinals, the new system has been instantly validated.

This offseason, we will take the role of the Selection Committee and look at how every BCS season (1998-2013) would have played out in the current College Football Playoff setup.  As a staff, we will analyze, debate, and ultimately select the 4 most deserving teams and seed them #1 through #4.  Once the bracket is set, we will throw the historical matchups into the game simulator over at What If Sports, a complex algorithm that simulates any matchup of teams from 1996 to the present.  We will simulate each matchup 25 times for a more accurate sample size, and report the series results and average score. 

How different would the college football landscape look if the 4-team playoff had come 16 years sooner? Would the SEC still have held the crystal trophy for 7 straight seasons? Would Oregon have a championship by now? How would the famous #3 teams such as 2000 Miami, 2003 USC, 2004 Auburn, and 2011 Oklahoma State fare with a shot at glory? Would the BCS busters prove themselves?

Let the games begin - here's what should have been:

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

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LINKS to our other CFB Simulation Features:
Champions Tournament- 38-team bracket of champions, runner-ups, BCS Busters 1996-2012
Champions Gauntlet- 2013 Florida State vs 8 Former BCS Champions

                '13 FSU vs. '98 Tenn     '13 FSU vs. '99 FSU     '13 FSU vs. '00 OU     '13 FSU vs. '02 OSU
                '13 FSU vs. '05 Texas     '13 FSU vs. '08 UF    '13 FSU vs. '11 Bama    '13 FSU vs. '01 Miami

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OFFSEASON FEATURES
Q&A's with SBNation:
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Throwback Thursday
    1990s Florida State
    3rd & 57
    Red River Roy ('01)
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Champions Gauntlet
    '13 FSU vs. '98 Tenn
    '13 FSU vs. '99 FSU
    '13 FSU vs. '00 OU
    '13 FSU vs. '02 OSU
    '13 FSU vs. '05 Texas
    '13 FSU vs. '08 UF
    '13 FSU vs. '11 Bama
    '13 FSU vs. '01 Miami

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